Skip to main content

One post tagged with "ai analytics"

View All Tags

Using Elysia AI to Discover Hidden Patterns in Your Trades

· 10 min read
Karthik
Founder, TradeLyser

You have patterns in your trading.

Patterns you can't see.
Patterns that repeat.
Patterns costing you money.

Elysia AI sees them in seconds.

Let me show you how.

What Patterns Look Like

Pattern #1: Time-Based

Hidden truth: You lose money after 2 PM

Your awareness: Zero

Elysia discovers:

Win Rate by Time:
9:30-11 AM: 68%
11 AM-1 PM: 56%
1-2 PM: 48%
2-3 PM: 34% ← Losing zone

Cost: 40% of your trades happen after 2 PM
Solution: Stop trading after 2 PM
Impact: +₹3.2L annual improvement

Pattern #2: Emotional

Hidden truth: You trade bigger after wins

Your awareness: "I'm just confident"

Elysia discovers:

Position Size After:
After Win: 2.3% avg (23% oversized)
After Loss: 1.8% avg (normal)

Win Rate:
After Win: 42% (overconfident trading)
After Loss: 61% (careful trading)

Cost: Overconfidence after wins leads to larger losses
Solution: Fixed position size regardless of previous trade
Impact: Win rate improves by 19%

Pattern #3: Setup Quality

Hidden truth: Your "B" setups are break-even

Your awareness: "They all work sometimes"

Elysia discovers:

A+ Setups: 72% WR, +₹2.8L profit
A Setups: 58% WR, +₹1.2L profit
B Setups: 49% WR, +₹0.1L profit ← Wasted effort
C Setups: 38% WR, -₹0.6L loss

Cost: 35% of your trades are B/C setups
Solution: Trade only A+ setups
Impact: Same profit, 65% fewer trades, less stress


How to Use Elysia for Pattern Discovery

Step 1: Ask the Right Questions

Don't ask: "Show me my data"
Ask: "What patterns are costing me money?"

Powerful Elysia queries:

  1. "When do I perform worst?"
  2. "What mistakes do I repeat?"
  3. "Which setups lose money?"
  4. "How do emotions affect my results?"
  5. "What's my most expensive bad habit?"

Step 2: Time-Based Analysis

Query: "Analyze my performance by time of day"

Elysia response:

## Time of Day Analysis

**Your Best Hours:**
10-11 AM: 71% WR, avg ₹3,800 profit per trade
- 47 trades
- Total: +₹1,78,600
- Key: Fresh mind, clear setups

**Your Worst Hours:**
2-3 PM: 39% WR, avg -₹400 per trade
- 52 trades
- Total: -₹20,800
- Key: Tired, forcing trades

**Recommendation:**
- Schedule meetings/breaks 2-3 PM
- Trade actively 10-11 AM
- Potential gain: ₹2L+ annually

Step 3: Day-of-Week Analysis

Query: "Show me my performance by day of week"

Elysia response:

## Day of Week Pattern

Monday: 45% WR, -₹12,400 (38 trades)
Tuesday: 62% WR, +₹38,200 (41 trades)
Wednesday: 58% WR, +₹28,600 (39 trades)
Thursday: 64% WR, +₹42,100 (43 trades)
Friday: 51% WR, +₹8,200 (37 trades)

**Insight:**
You significantly underperform on Mondays.

**Possible reasons:**
1. Weekend rust (need warmup)
2. Different market dynamics
3. Monday anxiety

**Recommendation:**
Option A: Take Mondays off (save ₹12K/month)
Option B: Paper trade Mondays only
Option C: Reduce size 50% on Mondays

Step 4: Emotional State Correlation

Query: "How does my emotional state affect performance?"

Elysia response:

## Emotional State Impact

You rate emotional state 1-10 before trades.
Here's how it correlates with results:

State 1-3 (Stressed):
- 23 trades
- 31% WR
- -₹18,200 total
- Avg loss: ₹791/trade

State 4-6 (Neutral):
- 87 trades
- 61% WR
- +₹1,24,400 total
- Avg profit: ₹1,430/trade

State 7-10 (Overconfident):
- 34 trades
- 44% WR
- -₹8,600 total
- Avg loss: ₹253/trade

**Key Insight:**
You should ONLY trade when emotional state is 5-7.

Both extremes (stressed OR overconfident) lead to losses.

**Implementation:**
Add rule: "Block trading if emotional rating < 5 or > 7"
Estimated savings: ₹27K/month

Step 5: Setup Quality Analysis

Query: "Compare my A+ setups vs other setups"

Elysia response:

## Setup Quality Breakdown

**A+ Setups** (all criteria met):
- 67 trades (35% of total)
- 74% win rate
- +₹2,87,400 profit
- Avg: ₹4,290/trade

**A Setups** (5/6 criteria):
- 54 trades (28%)
- 57% win rate
- +₹62,100 profit
- Avg: ₹1,150/trade

**B Setups** (4/6 criteria):
- 48 trades (25%)
- 46% win rate
- +₹4,200 profit
- Avg: ₹88/trade

**C Setups** (3/6 or less):
- 23 trades (12%)
- 35% win rate
- -₹18,600 loss
- Avg: -₹809/trade

**Critical Finding:**
- 37% of trades are B/C setups
- They contribute only 2% of profit
- Take time/energy/capital
- Increase stress

**Recommendation:**
Trade ONLY A+ setups.

**Impact:**
- Reduce trades by 65%
- Maintain 95% of profits
- Reduce stress significantly
- Free up time

Step 6: Loss Pattern Analysis

Query: "Why do I lose money? What patterns in my losses?"

Elysia response:

## Loss Pattern Analysis

Analyzed 78 losing trades. Found 4 main patterns:

**Pattern 1: Moving Stops** (34% of losses)
- 27 trades where you moved stop loss
- Original stop avg: -₹2,100 loss
- Actual loss avg: -₹4,800
- Extra cost: ₹72,900
- **Fix:** Never move stops

**Pattern 2: Oversized Positions** (28% of losses)
- 22 trades exceeding 2% risk
- Avg loss: ₹5,200 vs ₹2,400 normal
- Extra cost: ₹61,600
- **Fix:** Strict position size limits

**Pattern 3: Trading Without Setup** (21% of losses)
- 16 trades not matching any strategy
- "FOMO trades"
- 19% win rate
- Total loss: -₹24,800
- **Fix:** Only trade watchlist

**Pattern 4: Holding Losers** (17% of losses)
- 13 trades held past stop hoping for recovery
- Avg hold time: 87 minutes past stop
- Extra loss: ₹28,600
- **Fix:** Auto-exit at stops

**Total Preventable Losses:** ₹1,87,900 (62% of all losses!)

**Action Plan:**
1. Set automated stop-loss enforcement
2. Position size calculator (no override)
3. Watchlist-only trading
4. Time-based exits

Advanced Pattern Queries

Correlation Analysis

Query: "What factors correlate with my best trades?"

Elysia analyzes 100+ variables:

## Success Factor Correlations

**Strong Positive Correlations with Win Rate:**

1. Volume > 2x average (+23% WR)
2. Entry between 10-11 AM (+19% WR)
3. Trend aligned (+18% WR)
4. Emotional state 6-7 (+17% WR)
5. Market VIX < 15 (+14% WR)
6. Setup grade A+ (+16% WR)

**Strong Negative Correlations:**

1. After 2 PM trading (-24% WR)
2. Position size > 2% (-19% WR)
3. Trading after loss (-16% WR)
4. Monday trading (-14% WR)
5. VIX > 20 (-22% WR)

**Optimal Trade Profile:**
- Time: 10-11 AM
- Volume: > 2x average
- VIX: < 15
- Setup: A+
- Size: 1-2%
- Emotional state: 6-7
- Day: Tue-Thu

**Predicted Win Rate:** 81%
**Actual trades matching this:** 23
**Actual win rate:** 78% ✓

Sequence Analysis

Query: "Do my trade sequences affect performance?"

Elysia response:

## Sequence Pattern Analysis

**After 2 Consecutive Wins:**
- Next trade win rate: 48% (vs 58% baseline)
- Avg position size: 2.3% (15% oversized)
- Common mistake: Overconfidence
- **Rule needed:** Same size after wins

**After 2 Consecutive Losses:**
- Next trade win rate: 34% (vs 58% baseline)
- Avg position size: 2.8% (40% oversized!)
- Common mistake: Revenge trading
- **Rule needed:** Stop after 2 losses

**After Win-Loss-Win:**
- Next trade win rate: 64%
- Position size: Normal
- Execution: Good
- **Pattern:** Balanced state = best results

**Recommendation:**
Your emotional state after streaks affects next trade significantly.
Implement cooling-off period after 2-trade streaks (win or loss).

Market Condition Matching

Query: "Which market conditions suit my strategies?"

Elysia response:

## Strategy-Condition Fit Analysis

**Your Strategy A (Breakouts):**

Works best in:
- Trending markets (VIX < 15): 71% WR
- High volume days: 68% WR
- Morning session: 69% WR

Works worst in:
- Ranging markets: 41% WR
- Low volume: 38% WR
- Afternoon: 36% WR

**Your Strategy B (Mean Reversion):**

Works best in:
- Ranging markets: 64% WR
- Normal volatility (VIX 15-20): 62% WR
- Full day trading: 59% WR

Works worst in:
- Strong trending days: 34% WR
- High volatility (VIX > 20): 29% WR

**Recommendation:**
Use Strategy A when:
- NIFTY above 20 EMA
- VIX < 15
- Morning session

Use Strategy B when:
- NIFTY choppy/ranging
- VIX 15-20
- Any time of day

**Expected improvement:** +28% win rate by matching strategy to conditions

Real Case Studies

Case Study #1: The Afternoon Trader

Rajesh's Question: "Why am I inconsistent?"

Elysia Analysis:

Morning trades (9:30-12 PM):
- 89 trades
- 67% WR
- +₹2,84,000

Afternoon trades (1-3:30 PM):
- 124 trades
- 41% WR
- -₹56,000

**Insight:** You're a morning trader trading all day.

Action Taken:

  • Only trade 9:30 AM - 12 PM
  • Use afternoon for review/research

Results (3 months later):

  • Trades reduced by 58%
  • Win rate: 69%
  • Profit: +₹2.98L (was +₹2.28L before)
  • Stress: Dramatically lower

Case Study #2: The Setup Chaser

Priya's Question: "Why do I make money some months, lose others?"

Elysia Analysis:

Winning months pattern:
- A+ setups: 78% of trades
- Win rate: 66%

Losing months pattern:
- A+ setups: 34% of trades
- B/C setups: 66% of trades
- Win rate: 44%

**Insight:** You're inconsistent in setup quality.

Action Taken:

  • Created A+ setup checklist
  • Automated rule: "Alert if not A+"
  • Daily review of setup quality

Results:

  • A+ setups now: 84% of trades
  • Win rate: 68% (was 56%)
  • Consistency: 9/10 months profitable

Case Study #3: The Emotional Trader

Amit's Question: "Why do I blow up accounts?"

Elysia Analysis:

Normal emotional state (5-7):
- 134 trades
- 62% WR
- +₹3,42,000
- Avg risk: 1.8%

Stressed state (1-4):
- 18 trades
- 28% WR
- -₹28,400
- Avg risk: 4.2% (oversized!)

Overconfident state (8-10):
- 24 trades
- 38% WR
- -₹34,200
- Avg risk: 3.8% (oversized!)

**Insight:** Extreme emotional states = oversized positions = blowups

Action Taken:

  • Mandatory emotional check before each trade
  • Auto-block if rating < 5 or > 7
  • Take break when emotional

Results:

  • Emotional trades: 0 (system blocks them)
  • Account blowups: 0
  • Consistent profitability

Actionable Elysia Queries

Copy-Paste These Into Elysia:

Discovery:

  1. "What patterns are costing me money?"
  2. "When do I perform worst?"
  3. "What mistakes do I repeat?"
  4. "Show me correlations with my best trades"
  5. "Analyze my losing trades patterns"

Optimization: 6. "Which setup has best risk:reward?" 7. "What's my optimal trading time?" 8. "Should I trade on Mondays?" 9. "How does market volatility affect me?" 10. "What's my most profitable strategy?"

Validation: 11. "Test: What if I only traded A+ setups?" 12. "Test: What if I stopped trading after 2 PM?" 13. "Test: What if I took Mondays off?" 14. "Compare my strategies side-by-side" 15. "What rule would save me most money?"

Insight: 16. "Why do I exit winners too early?" 17. "Why do I hold losers too long?" 18. "What's my biggest behavioral bias?" 19. "How do emotions affect my position sizing?" 20. "What's different about my best trading days?"


The Bottom Line

You can't see what you can't see.

Your brain has blind spots.
Your memory is selective.
Your awareness is limited.

But Elysia sees everything.

Every trade. Every pattern. Every mistake.

And tells you exactly what to fix.

The question isn't whether patterns exist.
The question is: Will you discover them?


Take Action Now

Today:

  1. Log into TradeLyser
  2. Open Elysia
  3. Ask: "What patterns are costing me money?"
  4. Read the analysis
  5. Pick ONE insight to act on

This Week:

  1. Ask 5 pattern discovery questions
  2. Document top 3 insights
  3. Create rules based on findings

This Month:

  1. Implement pattern-based improvements
  2. Measure: Before vs After stats
  3. Let Elysia find next pattern

👉 Start Pattern Discovery with Elysia
👉 Download: 50 Elysia Query Templates
👉 Next: Mentor Mode - Guide 10 Traders Without Losing Your Sanity


What hidden pattern did Elysia reveal in your trading? Share your discovery below.