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The Art of Doing Nothing - When NOT to Trade

· 9 min read
Karthik
Founder, TradeLyser

"The stock market is designed to transfer money from the Active to the Patient." — Warren Buffett

Most traders lose money because they trade too much.

Not because they don't know enough. Not because they lack strategy.

Because they can't sit still.

Today, you'll learn the hardest skill in trading: Doing nothing.

The Problem with Always Being "In the Game"

The Activity Bias

Humans are wired for action:

  • Sitting idle feels unproductive
  • Taking action feels like progress
  • Doing something feels better than doing nothing

But in trading:

  • Activity ≠ Profit
  • More trades ≠ More money
  • Doing nothing can be the most profitable action

The Opportunity Cost Illusion

Fear: "If I'm not trading, I'm missing opportunities"

Reality: If you're trading bad setups, you're losing money

Math:

Scenario A: Trade 30 times (including bad setups)

  • 15 wins × ₹3,000 = ₹45,000
  • 15 losses × ₹2,500 = -₹37,500
  • Net: +₹7,500

Scenario B: Trade 12 times (only best setups)

  • 8 wins × ₹4,000 = ₹32,000
  • 4 losses × ₹2,000 = -₹8,000
  • Net: +₹24,000

Fewer trades, better quality, higher profits.


When You Should NOT Trade

1. When Your Setup Isn't There

Rule: Only trade YOUR setups

Not trading when:

  • 80% of criteria met (close but not exact)
  • "Looks similar" to your setup
  • "Might work" trades
  • Following someone else's call

Example:

Your setup: Breakout + Volume + Trend alignment

Today's opportunity:

  • Breakout ✓
  • Volume ✗ (below average)
  • Trend ✗ (sideways)

Action: DON'T TRADE

Why: This isn't your edge. Your edge requires all three.

2. After Reaching Daily Limits

Profit limit reached:

  • Target: +2% for the day
  • Achieved: +2.1%
  • Stop trading

Why:

  • Preserve gains
  • Avoid giving it back
  • Prevent overconfidence

Loss limit reached:

  • Stop: -1.5% for the day
  • Hit: -1.6%
  • Stop trading

Why:

  • Prevent revenge trading
  • Protect capital
  • Reset emotionally

3. When Emotionally Compromised

Don't trade when:

  • Angry (at market, yourself, life)
  • Anxious (worried, fearful)
  • Overexcited (overconfident)
  • Tired (mentally exhausted)
  • Distracted (personal issues)

Emotional Rating Check:

Rate yourself 1-10:

  • 1-4: High emotion (negative)
  • 5-7: Calm, neutral
  • 8-10: High emotion (positive)

Trade only: 5-7 range

Why: Extreme emotions = poor decisions

4. During High-Impact News

Don't trade during:

  • RBI policy announcements
  • Budget day
  • Major economic data (GDP, inflation)
  • Global events (Fed decisions, geopolitical)
  • Result days (if holding that stock)

Why:

  • Volatility spikes
  • Gaps are common
  • Stop losses don't work
  • Randomness increases

Exception: If you have a tested news-trading strategy.

5. When Market Conditions Don't Match Your Strategy

Your strategy: Trend-following breakouts

Market condition: Range-bound, choppy

Action: DON'T TRADE (or use different strategy)

Example:

Your StrategyWorks InAvoid In
BreakoutsTrending marketsRanging markets
Mean reversionRanging marketsStrong trends
MomentumHigh volatilityLow volatility
Options sellingLow volatilityHigh volatility

Match strategy to conditions or stay out.

6. On Expiry Days (If You're Not Experienced)

Weekly options expiry (Thursday):

  • Extreme volatility
  • Theta decay accelerates
  • Pin risk (options)
  • Manipulation possible

If you're new/intermediate: Avoid or reduce size significantly

If you're expert with expiry strategy: Trade with defined risk

7. When You Haven't Prepared

No preparation = No trading

If you didn't:

  • Create trading plan
  • Review watchlist
  • Analyze key levels
  • Check market context
  • Set risk limits

Then: Don't trade today

Why: Unprepared trading is gambling

8. During Lunch Break (11:30 AM - 1:00 PM)

Why avoid:

  • Lower liquidity
  • Wider spreads
  • Choppy price action
  • Traps and false moves common

Better: Use this time for:

  • Review morning trades
  • Plan afternoon session
  • Take actual lunch break
  • Mental reset

Exception: If you specifically trade lunchtime setups (rare)

9. After Big Wins

Just made ₹25,000?

Temptation: "I'm hot! Let me trade more!"

Reality: Overconfidence = biggest losses

Action:

  • Stop for the day
  • Celebrate
  • Review what went right
  • Resume tomorrow

Why: Protect your gains from yourself

10. When Sick or Physically Unwell

Physical state affects mental state:

  • Headache → poor focus
  • Fever → clouded judgment
  • Sleep deprived → impulsive decisions
  • Hungover → terrible choices

Rule: If you're not 100% physically, don't trade.

Your capital will wait. Opportunities will come again.

11. When You're On Tilt

Tilt = Emotional meltdown

Signs:

  • Revenge trading urges
  • "Must win it back" thinking
  • Breaking all rules
  • Rapid-fire trades
  • Increased position sizes

Action: STOP IMMEDIATELY

  • Close platform
  • Leave desk
  • Don't return today
  • Maybe not tomorrow either

12. When Your System Says No

If you have automated rules:

  • TradeLyser says: "Max trades reached"
  • Broker says: "Position limit hit"
  • Your checklist says: "Criteria not met"

Listen to the system. Don't override.

The system exists for when emotions want to break rules.


The Power of Selective Trading

Case Study: Rajesh - From Overtrader to Selective Trader

Before (6 months):

  • Trades: 487
  • Win rate: 48%
  • P&L: -₹34,000
  • Stress level: Extreme
  • Hours spent: 6-8/day

Analysis revealed:

  • Only 23% of trades were his A+ setup
  • 77% were FOMO/boredom/forcing trades
  • A+ setup win rate: 66%
  • Other trades win rate: 41%

Change: "I only trade my A+ breakout setup. Everything else, I watch."

After (6 months):

  • Trades: 94 (81% reduction!)
  • Win rate: 64%
  • P&L: +₹87,000
  • Stress level: Low
  • Hours spent: 2-3/day

Rajesh's words: "I thought less trading meant less profit. It's the opposite. My best trades came when I waited patiently for MY setup."


How to Master Doing Nothing

Strategy #1: Define Your Setup Precisely

If you can't describe it in 30 seconds, it's too vague.

Vague: "I trade reversals"

Precise: "I trade when price pulls back to 20 EMA in an uptrend, creates a bullish engulfing candle with volume >1.5x average, and RSI is between 40-60."

Benefit: Clear criteria = easy to identify when NOT there

Strategy #2: Create a "NOT to Trade" List

My "Do NOT Trade" List:

  • Before 9:30 AM
  • After 3:00 PM
  • Monday (choppy historically)
  • Result days
  • When VIX > 20
  • After 2 consecutive losses
  • When emotional rating < 6
  • Lunch hours (11:30-1:00 PM)
  • Setups outside my A+ criteria
  • When I haven't planned

Post it where you trade. Check before every trade.

Strategy #3: Track "Avoided Trades"

Journal format:

Date: Oct 13, 2025
Time: 10:45 AM

Tempted to trade: RELIANCE breakout
Why I wanted it: Moving fast, FOMO
Why I didn't: Volume was low, not my setup
Outcome: Reversed, would have lost ₹3,500
Lesson: Following rules saved ₹3,500

After 10 avoided trades, you'll see:

  • 70% of them were right to avoid
  • You "made money" by NOT losing it

This reinforces patience.

Strategy #4: The 5-Minute Wait Rule

When tempted to trade:

  1. Pause: Don't click buy yet
  2. Wait: 5 minutes
  3. Check: Does it meet ALL criteria?
  4. Breathe: 3 deep breaths
  5. Decide: Still valid after 5 min?

What happens:

  • 60% of FOMO urges pass
  • Quality of trades improves dramatically

Strategy #5: Celebrate Non-Trading Days

Mindset shift:

Old: "I didn't trade today, I wasted the day"

New: "No A+ setups appeared. I protected my capital. Successful day."

Track:

  • Days traded: X
  • Days watched (no setup): Y
  • Win rate on trading days: Z%

If Z% is high: Your patience is working

Strategy #6: Have Other Activities

During market hours when not trading:

  • Read books (trading education)
  • Review past trades
  • Work on strategy refinement
  • Exercise
  • Build watchlists
  • Study charts
  • Anything except "force a trade"

Boredom is NOT a trading setup.

Strategy #7: Set Maximum Trades Per Day

Force selectivity:

Rule: Maximum 3 trades per day

Effect:

  • You become selective (can't waste opportunities)
  • Quality over quantity
  • Each trade matters

TradeLyser: Set automated alert at trade #3


The Waiting Game: Real Examples

Example 1: The Patient Swing Trader

Strategy: Weekly breakouts on daily charts

Week 1: No setups → Watched only
Week 2: No setups → Watched only
Week 3: 1 setup → Entered → Won ₹12,000
Week 4: No setups → Watched only

Result: 1 trade in 4 weeks, highly profitable

Lesson: Quality >> Frequency

Example 2: The Selective Intraday Trader

Strategy: First hour breakouts only

Typical day:

  • 9:30-10:30 AM: Active (if setup appears)
  • 10:30 AM-3:30 PM: Watching, not trading
  • Most days: 0-1 trades
  • Some days: 0 trades

Result: High win rate, low stress, profitable

Lesson: Trading IS watching. Watching is trading.


The Psychology of Inaction

Why Doing Nothing Is Hard

1. Action Bias

  • Humans prefer doing something over nothing
  • Even if "something" is harmful

2. FOMO

  • Fear of missing opportunities
  • Everyone else seems to be trading

3. Boredom

  • Markets are exciting
  • Watching without trading feels boring

4. Validation

  • Trading makes you feel like a trader
  • Not trading makes you feel unproductive

5. Social Pressure

  • Trading groups: "I made 10 trades today!"
  • You: "I made 0 trades today"
  • Feels like falling behind

Reframing Inaction

Old mindset: "I'm doing nothing"

New mindset: "I'm protecting capital while waiting for MY opportunity"

Old: "I missed that move"

New: "That wasn't my setup. My setup will come."

Old: "Everyone's trading except me"

New: "Everyone's losing except me"


The Bottom Line

The best traders spend MORE time watching than trading.

Paul Tudor Jones: Watches for weeks, trades for days

Jesse Livermore: "Money is made by sitting, not trading"

Ed Seykota: "The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you can follow these three rules, you may have a chance."

Notice what's NOT on the list? "Trade frequently."

Key insights:

  1. More trades ≠ More profit
  2. Selectivity = Edge
  3. Patience = Profitability
  4. Doing nothing IS doing something

Your job isn't to trade every day.

Your job is to trade WELL when the opportunity matches your edge.


Take Action Now

Today:

  1. Write your "Do NOT Trade" list
  2. Post it where you trade
  3. Commit to honoring it

This Week:

  1. Track how many trades you avoided (and why)
  2. Review outcomes of avoided trades
  3. Calculate "money saved" by not trading

This Month:

  1. Reduce trade frequency by 30%
  2. Increase selectivity (only A+ setups)
  3. Compare: Win rate before vs after

👉 Track Avoided Trades in TradeLyser
👉 Download: "Do NOT Trade" Checklist
👉 Next: 5 Cognitive Biases Destroying Your Performance


What's your biggest challenge with "doing nothing"? Share below.